My thought on USD fundamental analysis 27 March 2015

USD - ▼

As USA unemployment keep dropping, we are expecting a near 5% unemployment rate soon. This might be currently be the best employment data in the western countries but as the wages is not growing and job market is full of part time jobs. I will not be expecting this good low unemployment news to greatly affect USD soon.

GDP might have some good result for the month of april 2015 but I highly doubt it, the oil price is still a major issue for USA, as they had switched over to a major Oil exporter last year. This low oil price might take awhile for USA to recover, unless they find another major product to export...Gold Iphone?

Overall, I expect USD/USA data to drop abit more till around April or May, re bounce once the low unemployment rate plus real wages growth kick in, we might be able to see mid 2015 to 2016 to be a good year for USA.

For now i will stack more USD as USD drop even more.

Please be advise that forex is a high risk investment, there will be a very high chance of lost of capital.

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My thought on USD/Gold fundamental analysis 09 April 2015

USD - ↔ Gold -↓ Current USA data is pointing to a robust recovery, with a stable employment rate and a stable growth. Yes the data from march was a major disappointment(weather?) but overall data so far is looking good, not great, but good. So what does good data means? USA is still out growing most developing countries and Euro even with just a "Good". Together with Oil price swinging ever lower, and with Iran joining in with the global oil market which will push oil price even lower. the inflation rate will set to be ever lower. Good Usa growth plus low inflation combine with non stop influx of credit, point to a market that investors dare to seek higher return with higher risk investment which is not good for Gold. So going long to mid term(end of 2015?), the Gold price would be projected to go down. I am aiming for at least a USD1100 per ounce range. Please be advise that forex is a high risk investment, there will be a very high chance of lost o...

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