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My thought on USD fundamental analysis 27 March 2015

 

USD - ▼

As USA unemployment keep dropping, we are expecting a near 5% unemployment rate soon. This might be currently be the best employment data in the western countries but as the wages is not growing and job market is full of part time jobs. I will not be expecting this good low unemployment news to greatly affect USD soon.

GDP might have some good result for the month of april 2015 but I highly doubt it, the oil price is still a major issue for USA, as they had switched over to a major Oil exporter last year. This low oil price might take awhile for USA to recover, unless they find another major product to export...Gold Iphone?

Overall, I expect USD/USA data to drop abit more till around April or May, re bounce once the low unemployment rate plus real wages growth kick in, we might be able to see mid 2015 to 2016 to be a good year for USA.

For now i will stack more USD as USD drop even more.

 Please be advise that forex is a high risk investment, there will be a very high chance of lost of capital.
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