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Showing posts with the label USD

Today's Forex Focus, 27 Jan 2024

Hey there! 27 Jan 2024 Forex market is buzzing with some interesting moves. Let's dive into the details with our cheeky but insightful uncle's perspective: U.S. Dollar Takes a Dip : The U.S. dollar has been a bit of a slippery fish today. It edged lower after the latest inflation data showed a modest rise in December, but overall, it's trending downwards. This could mean the Federal Reserve might just cut interest rates by mid-year. The greenback was on track for gains over four weeks but took a slight dip today​​. Core PCE Data : The core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index (which the Fed keeps a close eye on for their 2% inflation target) showed an increase of 2.9%, just shy of the expected 3%. This figure is the lowest since Q1 2021, hinting at steady progress towards the Fed's 2% inflation target. Despite this, overall price pressures seem to be stubbornly sticking around​​. Euro and Pound Sterling Movements : The Euro had a bit of a stumble, droppin...

Today's Forex Focus, 26 Jan 2024

Alright, kiddo, let's dive into what the Forex market is chatting about today. We've got some interesting movements and decisions shaking things up.  First off, the U.S. dollar is standing tall and steady, hanging around like that favorite uncle who just won't leave the barbecue. It's been holding firm after a bit of a rise overnight. This is thanks to some pretty surprising GDP data from the U.S. which showed growth hitting a 3.3% annualized rate. This was a bit of a curveball, beating the expected 2% growth rate. It's like that underdog team pulling off a surprise win - didn't see it coming, but here we are. Now, traders are all eyes and ears, waiting to see how this will influence the Federal Reserve's path on interest rates. Now, let's hop over to Europe. The euro is feeling a bit under the weather, easing off a bit on the back of the European Central Bank (ECB) deciding to keep their interest rates parked at a record-high 4%. It seems like the ECB m...

Today's Forex Focus, 25 Jan 2024

Alright, my Forex-savvy friend, let's dive into today's market scoop with that slightly cheeky, uncle-like charm you know and love! Today, the Forex market is buzzing with the dance of major currencies, and the star of the show is the U.S. dollar. After a stint of flexing its muscles, the dollar decided to take a little breather, dropping a tad as investors play the waiting game with upcoming economic data and the Federal Reserve's policy meeting on the horizon​​. The dollar, being the drama queen it is, did manage to cut its losses after some U.S. business activity decided to pick up in January. The inflation measure also eased up a bit, giving the dollar a bit of a pat on the back. But here's where it gets spicy: investors are now eyeing the U.S. gross domestic product for Q4 and the personal consumption expenditure data, both ready to strut their stuff later this week​​. Now, let's not forget about our friends across the pond and in the Land of the Rising Sun. Th...

Today's Forex Focus, 24 Jan 2024

Alright, kiddo, here's the lowdown on the Forex market today: Bank of Japan's Stance : The Bank of Japan had a meeting recently and decided to keep its policies steady. This includes maintaining its negative interest rate of -0.1%. The Japanese stock markets didn't react much, and the Yen stayed pretty stable too​​. US Dollar's Movement : The US Dollar Index (DXY) is holding steady, with markets waiting for the upcoming Purchasing Manager’s Index (PMI) data. Also, there's some anticipation around the fourth quarter Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data and Friday’s core Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) inflation gauge​​. Eurozone Stability : Over in the Eurozone, the Euro is hanging around the 1.09 mark against the USD. Some positive vibes are coming from the Netherlands, where consumer confidence is slowly improving​​. Asia-Pacific Region : In China, the loan prime rates are unchanged, while the Japanese Yen is steady ahead of the Bank of Japan's policy decis...

My thought on USD/Gold fundamental analysis 23 Jan 2024

 The market sentiment for USD/Gold this week appears to be mixed, with various analysts providing different perspectives. Bullish Sentiment: Some market analysts are optimistic about gold prices rising in the coming week. This optimism is based on the observation of bullish patterns and the metal's failure to test below key price levels, such as $2,000 per ounce. For instance, a senior market strategist at Forex.com has turned bullish for the next week, citing a lack of testing below $2k and the formation of a bullish falling wedge. Additionally, Kitco's Senior Analyst, Jim Wyckoff, expects gold prices to trade higher, bolstered by momentum gained late this week. Bearish and Neutral Views: On the other hand, Darin Newsom from Barchart.com suggests a potential outflow of investment from commodities, including gold, based on technical analysis. The weekly chart indicates a downward trend, and there's an expectation of gold prices extending a downtrend, possibly breaking past ...

My thought on USD fundamental analysis 27 March 2015

  USD - ▼ As USA unemployment keep dropping, we are expecting a near 5% unemployment rate soon. This might be currently be the best employment data in the western countries but as the wages is not growing and job market is full of part time jobs. I will not be expecting this good low unemployment news to greatly affect USD soon. GDP might have some good result for the month of april 2015 but I highly doubt it, the oil price is still a major issue for USA, as they had switched over to a major Oil exporter last year. This low oil price might take awhile for USA to recover, unless they find another major product to export...Gold Iphone? Overall, I expect USD/USA data to drop abit more till around April or May, re bounce once the low unemployment rate plus real wages growth kick in, we might be able to see mid 2015 to 2016 to be a good year for USA. For now i will stack more USD as USD drop even more. Please be advise that forex is a high risk investment, there will...

My thought on Gold (XAU)/Silver (XAG)/USD/OIL fundamental analysis 03 MArch 2015

My analyst for the week Gold XAU - ▼ Silver XAG - ▼ USD - ▲ OIL - side line Currently OIL is oversupply so the IRAN/ISIS issue dont seem to have much weight on Gold China demand for gold during this traditional period dont seem to be picking up India government is hell bend on reducing gold import by using Gold bond(?) which give interest and can be sold back with its price peg to Gold. Paper supply dropping after US bank start to pull out of the ETF market So overall i would suggest sell on rally, take it with a pinch of salt. not sure when hyper inflation will set in... but i doubt will be soon. even USA is facing deflation now. Again take all this with a pinch of salt, I had being losing quite alot of money due to gold wild swag lately. Most likely caused by the recent Euro/Greece issue. I had being gone for awhile as i dont see the need to write much regarding Gold due to the ISIS/Euro issue hopefully the below link will be helpfully for anyone who wi...

My thought on Gold (XAU) /Silver (XAG)/ USD fundamental analysis 01 Aug 2014

My analyst for the week Gold XAU - side line Silver XAG - side line USD - ⇧  I had stopped writing(trading) since July as the news keep repeating itself, Iraq, Ukranie, Russia, ISIS. With all news outlet covering the news and the resulting USD drop and precious metal spike I felt that I had nothing much to add. But August is here, I guess its time for me to get off my lazy butt and start writing again. Mostly the world seem unchanged since June, slightly more stable but roughly the same. This seem to have push precious metal pricing down abit but dont get lure in... yet. Gold and silver might spike at anytime due to the conflicts in multiple countries. Better to be side line or have a very tight stop lost. USD got a boost from the recent GDP data(4% wow!) which suggest strongly that the USA market is recovering and that the 1st quarter GDP is weather affected. with the increasing inflation and the recovering employment market, there is rumor that Yellen would start to ...