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My thought on USD/Gold fundamental analysis 09 April 2015


USD - ↔ 
Gold -↓

Current USA data is pointing to a robust recovery, with a stable employment rate and a stable growth.

Yes the data from march was a major disappointment(weather?) but overall data so far is looking good, not great, but good.

So what does good data means? USA is still out growing most developing countries and Euro even with just a "Good". Together with Oil price swinging ever lower, and with Iran joining in with the global oil market which will push oil price even lower. the inflation rate will set to be ever lower.

Good Usa growth plus low inflation combine with non stop influx of credit, point to a market that investors dare to seek higher return with higher risk investment which is not good for Gold.

So going long to mid term(end of 2015?), the Gold price would be projected to go down. I am aiming for at least a USD1100 per ounce range.

Please be advise that forex is a high risk investment, there will be a very high chance of lost of capital. 

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